Dutch book
Noun
Meaning
English Wikipedia has an article on:Dutch bookWikipedia
Dutch book (plural Dutch books)
A set of trades or bets such that, regardless of the outcome of events, one party strictly profits and another strictly loses.
Synonym: lock
Synonyms
Examples
A Dutch book is made when a clever gambler places a set of bets that guarantee a profit, no matter what the outcome of the bets.
If a bookmaker follows the rules of the Bayesian calculus in the construction of his odds, a Dutch book cannot be made.
For example, Hacking writes Hacking (1967, Section 3, page 316), Hacking (1988, page 124) "And neither the Dutch book argument, nor any other in the personalist arsenal of proofs of the probability axioms, entails the dynamic assumption.
Hacking wrote Hacking (1967, Section 3, p. 316), Hacking (1988, p. 124) "And neither the Dutch book argument, nor any other in the personalist arsenal of proofs of the probability axioms, entails the dynamic assumption.
However, Ian Hacking noted that traditional Dutch book arguments did not specify Bayesian updating: they left open the possibility that non-Bayesian updating rules could avoid Dutch books.
Ian Hacking noted that traditional " Dutch book " arguments did not specify Bayesian updating: they left open the possibility that non-Bayesian updating rules could avoid Dutch books.